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Path to Iran War Begins in Israel

Saturday, July 15, 2006

The path to war with Iran very well may begin in Israel. At this point, only time will tell if we've already begun this journey or not. I still think it may be a little too early to call it, though. Reading some other blogs, I found that there are those who can't wait for us to be on our way. Why are people in such a great hurry to go to war?
Watching and reading the various news stories coming in from the middle east, its interesting to see how the official story evolves with each new news headline. Take for instance the initial reporting of an unmanned drone striking an Israeli navy ship. For some reason, this story didn't have a very long shelf life. Here's what I found interesting about this, though. It was initially reported by that an "explosives laden drone" smashed into the Israeli ship, setting it on fire. When I first tried to find this story, I ran into dead-end after dead-end. It was as if the internet was wiped clean of all versions of this story.
What was happening, I realized, was that the story was being rewritten. Instead of claiming that an "explosives laden drone" hit the ship, the articles were now reporting that the "Israeli army announced that a missile fired by Hezbollah, not an unmanned drone laden with explosives, had damaged an Israeli warship..." But why the sudden change in munitions? Well, as far as I can tell, this is the point that Iran's name got brought up--loudly. Up to this point, the news agencies were unable to tie Iran to the events occurring on Israel and Lebanon. But if it were an Iranian missile, the Iranian association could be made and the drumbeat for war could begin in earnest. And that's exactly what happened.
The United States cannot legally attack Iran outright. The American public won't stand for it, not to mention the international community. The Bush administration knows this, but it won't stop them from trying. I predicted that Israel would be instrumental in getting the party started between the U.S. and Iran, but it seems my "how" was slightly off base. The endgame of regime change, however, would still be achieved. This also might explain why the United States decided to veto a United Nations Security Council resolution that would have called on Israel to immediately end its two-week military incursion in Gaza. How can you have a war if its stopped before it even really gets going?
Anyway... stay tuned. It'll be interesting to see how this story unfolds in the coming weeks.


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